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The Resource The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Label
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
Title
The black swan
Title remainder
the impact of the highly improbable
Statement of responsibility
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Creator
Author
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible.' For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them."--Jacket
http://library.link/vocab/ext/novelist/bookUI
257728
Cataloging source
DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorDate
1960-
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Dewey number
003/.54
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
index present
LC call number
Q375
LC item number
.T35 2007
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/resourcePreferred
True
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Uncertainty (Information theory)
  • Forecasting
  • Forecasting
  • Uncertainty (Information theory)
http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/titleRemainder
the impact of the highly improbable
Label
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Instantiates
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 331-358) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Control code
ocm71833470
Dimensions
25 cm
Edition
First Edition
Extent
xxviii, 366 pages
Isbn
9781400063512
Lccn
2006051093
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
Other control number
9781400063512
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
(OCoLC)71833470
Label
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 331-358) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Control code
ocm71833470
Dimensions
25 cm
Edition
First Edition
Extent
xxviii, 366 pages
Isbn
9781400063512
Lccn
2006051093
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
Other control number
9781400063512
Other physical details
illustrations
System control number
(OCoLC)71833470

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