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The Resource Future babble : why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better, Dan Gardner

Future babble : why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better, Dan Gardner

Label
Future babble : why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better
Title
Future babble
Title remainder
why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better
Statement of responsibility
Dan Gardner
Creator
Subject
Genre
Language
eng
Summary
Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future
Summary
Draws on landmark research to debunk the methods of the expert prediction industry, exploring the psychology behind the human drive to foretell history in spite of typically inaccurate forecasts
Writing style
http://library.link/vocab/ext/novelist/bookUI
383794
Cataloging source
DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorDate
1968-
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Gardner, Dan
Dewey number
303.4909
Index
index present
LC call number
BF463.U5
LC item number
G475 2010
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/resourcePreferred
True
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Uncertainty
  • Fallacies (Logic)
  • Thought and thinking
  • Perception
Target audience
adult
http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/titleRemainder
why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better
Label
Future babble : why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better, Dan Gardner
Instantiates
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Contents
Introduction -- The unpredictable world -- In the minds of experts -- The experts agree : expect much more of the same -- Unsettled by uncertainty -- Everyone loves a hedgehog -- When prophets fail -- The end is nigh
Control code
2010041293
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
xi, 305 pages
Isbn
9780525952053
Lccn
2010041293
Label
Future babble : why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better, Dan Gardner
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Contents
Introduction -- The unpredictable world -- In the minds of experts -- The experts agree : expect much more of the same -- Unsettled by uncertainty -- Everyone loves a hedgehog -- When prophets fail -- The end is nigh
Control code
2010041293
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
xi, 305 pages
Isbn
9780525952053
Lccn
2010041293

Library Locations

    • Central LibraryBorrow it
      710 W. Cesar Chavez St, Austin, TX, 78701, US
      30.271302100000 -97.746016800000
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